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Il rapporto sulla fame 2026 dell'ONU mostra un terzo calo consecutivo, ma esclude esplicitamente gli effetti di El Niño dalle sue proiezioni al 2030 – proprio mentre i previsori segnalano il più potente El Niño mai misurato, che si sviluppa molto più rapidamente dell'evento record del 2015–16. Il rapporto completo del SRC esamina l'entità del rischio risultante e cosa significa per la pianificazione della sicurezza alimentare.

Le rapport sur la faim 2026 des Nations unies montre un troisième déclin consécutif, mais exclut explicitement les effets d'El Niño de ses projections pour 2030 – alors même que les prévisionnistes signalent le plus puissant El Niño jamais mesuré, se développant bien plus rapidement que l'événement record de 2015–16. Le rapport complet du SRC examine l'importance du risque résultant et ce qu'il signifie pour la planification de la sécurité alimentaire.

Der Hungerbericht der UN aus 2026 zeigt einen dritten aufeinanderfolgenden Rückgang, schließt aber El-Niño-Auswirkungen ausdrücklich aus seinen Prognosen bis 2030 aus – just in dem Moment, in dem Prognostiker das stärkste je gemessene El-Niño-Ereignis ausmachen, das sich deutlich schneller entwickelt als das bisherige Rekordereignis von 2015–16. Der Bericht von SRC untersucht die Größe des daraus resultierenden Risikos und was es für die Lebensmittelversorgungssicherheitsplanung bedeutet.

Escalating SRC's 20 July report, this study maps the stakeholders, builds probability-weighted scenarios, and traces sector and D-A-CH geography exposure behind Brussels' 17 July package — and flags two unresolved contradictions the Commission's own texts have not yet reconciled: a cap trajectory that loosens rather than tightens after 2036, and a free-allocation extension to 2038 that appears to collide with the legislated CBAM phase-out ending in 2034.

Escalating the 20 July evening brief: the EU's Electrification Action Plan and loosened ETS cap trajectory, Germany's 5,753 heat deaths, a record-trending El Niño, EU solar's 25% peak, and the UN's zombie-credit purge are not five separate stories but one interlocking risk system. This report maps stakeholders, scenarios and sector/geography exposures, and flags where the underlying sources sit in tension.

The European Commission's 17 July 2026 ETS reform proposal slows the pace of carbon-cap cuts and pushes back the phase-out of free industrial allowances, a move analysts say could allow 2–2.4 billion extra tonnes of CO₂e by 2050. D-A-CH industry gets near-term cost relief, but only if firms can prove real decarbonisation progress.

A peer-reviewed World Weather Attribution study finds that climate change made Europe's 2026 summer drought up to 80 times more likely, turning a would-be "moderate" event into an "extreme" one. The result: roughly €2bn in crop losses, record-low Rhine and Danube levels, and wildfire emergencies from Spain to Sicily.

A rapidly intensifying El Niño — one of the fastest on record — has pushed forecasters to project 2027 at roughly 1.71°C above pre-industrial levels, a 92% chance of a new global temperature record. SRC's full Report examines what this means for D-A-CH adaptation, agriculture and energy planning.

Escalating the 25 July 2026 Report, this Study deepens the evidence base on the fastest-onset El Niño in the observational record, maps the stakeholders most exposed to its cascading effects, and lays out three probability-weighted scenarios for 2026–2028. It concludes with geography- and sector-specific implications for D-A-CH energy, agriculture, and public health planning, and flags an unresolved terminology tension in SRC's own prior coverage.

The UN's 2026 hunger report shows a third straight year of decline, but explicitly excludes El Niño effects from its 2030 projections — just as forecasters flag the strongest El Niño ever measured, developing far faster than the record-holding 2015-16 event. SRC's full report examines the size of the resulting risk and what it means for food security planning.

A deadly June 2026 heatwave and a brewing "supercharged" El Niño are converging to test cooling, energy and food-security policy across Germany, Austria and Switzerland. The free brief below summarizes what happened, why it matters, and what to watch — the full Report offers the deeper policy analysis.